إعادة تأهيل السياسة الصناعية في الوطن العربي: دروس الماضي، تحديات الحاضر وآفاق المستقبل

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(2) Ricardo Hausmann and Dani Rodrik, «Doomed to Choose: Industrial Policy as Predicament,» (Paper Prepared for the First Blue Sky Seminar Organized by the Center for International Development at Harvard University on 9 September 2  , Cambridge, 0$ , 2 September 2 ), on the: eb: http:  www  sss  ias  edu ¿ les  pdfs  Rodrik  Research  doomed  to  choose.pdf> (Accessed 22/5/2014).

دراﺳﺎت إﻋﺎدة ﺗﺄﻫﻴﻞ اﻟﺴﻴﺎﺳﺔ اﻟﺼﻨﺎﻋﻴﺔ ﻓﻲ اﻟﻮﻃﻦ اﻟﻌﺮﺑﻲ: دروس اﻟﻤﺎﺿﻲ وﺗﺤﺪﻳﺎت اﻟﺤﺎﺿﺮ وآﻓﺎق اﻟﻤﺴﺘﻘﺒﻞ

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(3) Kenneth J. Arrow, «The Economic Implications of Learning by Doing,» Review of Economic Studies, vol. 29, no. 3 (June 1962), pp. 155–173. (4) Joseph E. Stiglitz, Justin Yifu Lin and Célestin Monga, «The Rejuvenation of Industrial Policy,» (Policy Research Working Paper; 6628, World Bank, Washington, DC, September 2013).

اﻟﻌﺪد ٩ / ٣

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(6) Dani Rodrik, «Industrial Policy: Don’t Ask Why, Ask How,» Middle East Development Journal (Demo Issue) (2008).

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Ibrahim Elbadawi and Alan H. * elb, «Oil, Economic Diversi ¿ cation, and Development in the Arab World,» (Policy Research Report; 35, Economic Research Forum, Cairo, December 2010).

دراﺳﺎت إﻋﺎدة ﺗﺄﻫﻴﻞ اﻟﺴﻴﺎﺳﺔ اﻟﺼﻨﺎﻋﻴﺔ ﻓﻲ اﻟﻮﻃﻦ اﻟﻌﺮﺑﻲ: دروس اﻟﻤﺎﺿﻲ وﺗﺤﺪﻳﺎت اﻟﺤﺎﺿﺮ وآﻓﺎق اﻟﻤﺴﺘﻘﺒﻞ

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(9) Rodrik, «Industrial Policy,» and Mustapha Nabli [et al], «The Political Economy of Industrial Policy in the Middle East and North Africa,» (Working Paper; 110, Egyptian Center for Economic Studies, Cairo, May 2006). (10) Dani Rodrik, «Understanding Economic Policy Reform,» Journal of Economic Literature , vol. 34, no. 1 (March

(11) Nabli [et al], «The Political Economy of Industrial Policy». (12) Rodrik, «Industrial Policy».

اﻟﻌﺪد ٩ / ٣

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(14) Stiglitz, Lin and Monga, «The Rejuvenation of Industrial Policy». (15) Olivier Blanchard, «The Future of Macroeconomic Policy: Nine Tentative Conclusions,» (IMF Direct, 13 March 2011), on the Web: <http://blog-imfdirect.imf.org/2011/03/13/future-of-macroeconomic-policy/>.

دراﺳﺎت إﻋﺎدة ﺗﺄﻫﻴﻞ اﻟﺴﻴﺎﺳﺔ اﻟﺼﻨﺎﻋﻴﺔ ﻓﻲ اﻟﻮﻃﻦ اﻟﻌﺮﺑﻲ: دروس اﻟﻤﺎﺿﻲ وﺗﺤﺪﻳﺎت اﻟﺤﺎﺿﺮ وآﻓﺎق اﻟﻤﺴﺘﻘﺒﻞ

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(16) Nabli [et al], «The Political Economy of Industrial Policy».

اﻟﻌﺪد ٩ / ٣

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دراﺳﺎت إﻋﺎدة ﺗﺄﻫﻴﻞ اﻟﺴﻴﺎﺳﺔ اﻟﺼﻨﺎﻋﻴﺔ ﻓﻲ اﻟﻮﻃﻦ اﻟﻌﺮﺑﻲ: دروس اﻟﻤﺎﺿﻲ وﺗﺤﺪﻳﺎت اﻟﺤﺎﺿﺮ وآﻓﺎق اﻟﻤﺴﺘﻘﺒﻞ

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(17) Nabli [et al], «The Political Economy of Industrial Policy».

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(19) Rodrik, «Industrial Policy»; Ibrahim Elbadawi, Linda Kalt and Raimundo Soto, «Aid, Real Exchange Rate Misalignment and Economic Performance in Sub-Saharan Africa,» (World Bank, Washington, DC, 2008), and Philippe Aghion [et al.], «Exchange Rate Volatility and Productivity Growth: The Role of Financial Development,» Journal of Monetary Economics , vol. 56, no. 4 (2009), pp. 494-513.

ºÓÐ}h?jšUÐì|gUp”}LŠ^>n ð\xÌî}BúÐéí{UÐëlRºph]afUÐph=}_UÐéí{UÐpUnARn ð”Ðíí{˜x]afUÐ…x}UÐ}?ÌëÌŒhAR (½»)

. ŒhdYn_UÐÓĆx>íéÐYúÐÜíÍÚÓnbR{>dLnwØnešLøpœhšfTºÒ}In˜Y}hQpbx}]=Uí

(21) Elbadawi and Gelb, «Oil, Economic Diversi ¿ cation». (22) Ahmed Galal and Nihal El-Megharbel, «Do Governments Pick Winners or Losers " An Assessment of Industrial Policy in Egypt,» (Working Paper; 108, Egyptian Center for Economic Studies, Cairo, December 2005).

دراﺳﺎت إﻋﺎدة ﺗﺄﻫﻴﻞ اﻟﺴﻴﺎﺳﺔ اﻟﺼﻨﺎﻋﻴﺔ ﻓﻲ اﻟﻮﻃﻦ اﻟﻌﺮﺑﻲ: دروس اﻟﻤﺎﺿﻲ وﺗﺤﺪﻳﺎت اﻟﺤﺎﺿﺮ وآﻓﺎق اﻟﻤﺴﺘﻘﺒﻞ

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(25) Elbadawi and Gelb, «Oil, Economic Diversi ¿ cation».

ph˜x}œšUÐpxØn[šSøÐÓnh=ØúÐê{žš—>.(âfšUÐŒYp@ÚØŠSÌ) ¼»»UÐ (âfšUÐŒYp@ÚØdLÌ) »ŒY}IkeUÐÐ|wpehSÖíÐ}š>

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Ibrahim Elbadawi, «Real Exchange Rate Policy and Non-Traditional Exports in Developing Countries,» in: G. K. Helleiner, ed., Non-Traditional Export Promotion in Africa: Experience and Issues (Houndmills, Hampshire; New York: Palgrave, 2002).

ënåeåI}åhåwéÐ{åfåR}åhåw}åIkYêÐ{垚åHÐéĆåBŒåY (âåfåšUÐåcåL) ~åhåT}åšUÐpåhwnåYåUÎãÚnåxÛÐíå˜eåxЊÉå>í

}^iкiØúÐí[SúÐŒh=ÓínašUÐíºphLn]bUЁ[UÐâf>ŠYn_Yº (Herfindhal-Hirschman Index: HHI)

Jean Imbs and Romain Wacziarg, «Stages of Diversi ¿ cation,» American Economic Review , vol. 93, no. 1 (March 2003).

}^iкÓÐÚØn[UАUne@ÎŒYph_h˜]UÐØÚÐeUÐp[AíëneI}hwéÐ{fR}hw}IkYënYÚ{hUíiUnYê{žšHÐ

William Maloney and Daniel Lederman, «Trade Structure and Growth,» in: William F. Maloney and Lederman, eds., Natural Resources: Neither Curse nor Destiny (Palo Alto, CA: Stanford University Press; Washington, DC: World Bank, 2007), pp. 15-40. (26) «Industrial Development Report, 2009,» (United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO) Database).

دراﺳﺎت إﻋﺎدة ﺗﺄﻫﻴﻞ اﻟﺴﻴﺎﺳﺔ اﻟﺼﻨﺎﻋﻴﺔ ﻓﻲ اﻟﻮﻃﻦ اﻟﻌﺮﺑﻲ: دروس اﻟﻤﺎﺿﻲ وﺗﺤﺪﻳﺎت اﻟﺤﺎﺿﺮ وآﻓﺎق اﻟﻤﺴﺘﻘﺒﻞ

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ÓnincY΂ažf>º}BËf_e=. Ò{x{@Ón@šfYÕnšiÎDL>ÐÚ{SíLnf[UÐân]bUÐÓÐÚ{bYßnažiÐ ‰UÙDLØÛ. ïØn[šSøЭefUЉU|=ˆh_šRºÐ ð}eš—Yn ð”nažiÐÒ{x{@Ón@šfYÕnšiÎ:-}_UÐ3n_UÐ

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(27) Unlocking the Employment Potential in the Middle East and North Africa: Toward a New Social Contract , MENA Development Report. Orientations in Development (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2004); Ahmed Galal, «The Paradox of Education and Unemployment in Egypt,» (Working Paper; 67, Egyptian Center for Economic Studies, Cairo, March 2002), and Ragui Assaad, «The Transformation of the Egyptian Labor Market, 1988-98,» in: Ragui Assaad, ed., The Egyptian Labor Market in an Era of Reform (Cairo; New York: American University in Cairo Press, 2002). (28) Khalid Sekkat, «Does Competition Improve Productivity in Developing Countries " ,» Journal of Economic Policy Reform , vol. 12, no. 2 (2009), pp. 145-162.

اﻟﻌﺪد ٩ / ٣

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(29) Ricardo Hausmann, Jason Hwang, and Dani Rodrik, «What you Export Matters,» Journal of Economic Growth , vol. 12, no. 1 (March 2007). (30) Dani Rodrik, «Industrial Development: Stylized Facts and Policies,» (Chapter Prepared for the U.N.-DESA Publication Industrial Development for the 21st Century, Cambridge, MA, August 2006), on the Web: <http://www.sss. ias.edu/ ¿ les/pdfs/Rodrik/Research/industrial-development.pdf> (Accessed 22/5/2014).

دراﺳﺎت إﻋﺎدة ﺗﺄﻫﻴﻞ اﻟﺴﻴﺎﺳﺔ اﻟﺼﻨﺎﻋﻴﺔ ﻓﻲ اﻟﻮﻃﻦ اﻟﻌﺮﺑﻲ: دروس اﻟﻤﺎﺿﻲ وﺗﺤﺪﻳﺎت اﻟﺤﺎﺿﺮ وآﻓﺎق اﻟﻤﺴﺘﻘﺒﻞ

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(32) Imbs and Wacziarg, «Stages of Diversi ¿ cation». (33) Bailey Klinger and Daniel Lederman, «Discovery and Development: An Empricial Exploration of «New» Products,» (Policy Research Working Paper; 3450, World Bank, Washington, DC, 2004).

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اﻟﻌﺪد ٩ / ٣

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(36) Hausmann and Rodrik, «Doomed to Choose».

دراﺳﺎت إﻋﺎدة ﺗﺄﻫﻴﻞ اﻟﺴﻴﺎﺳﺔ اﻟﺼﻨﺎﻋﻴﺔ ﻓﻲ اﻟﻮﻃﻦ اﻟﻌﺮﺑﻲ: دروس اﻟﻤﺎﺿﻲ وﺗﺤﺪﻳﺎت اﻟﺤﺎﺿﺮ وآﻓﺎق اﻟﻤﺴﺘﻘﺒﻞ

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Justin Yifu Lin and Celestin Monga, «Comparative Advantage: The Silver Bullet of Industrial Policy,» in: Joseph E. Stiglitz, Joan Esteban and Justin Yifu Lin, eds., The Industrial Policy Revolution, I: The Role of Government beyond Ideology, International Economic Association (Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan, 2013). (38) Rodrik, «Industrial Policy».

اﻟﻌﺪد ٩ / ٣

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(39) Peter Evans, Embedded Autonomy: States and Industrial Transformation , Princeton Paperbacks (Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1995). (40)Rodrik, «Industrial Policy».

دراﺳﺎت إﻋﺎدة ﺗﺄﻫﻴﻞ اﻟﺴﻴﺎﺳﺔ اﻟﺼﻨﺎﻋﻴﺔ ﻓﻲ اﻟﻮﻃﻦ اﻟﻌﺮﺑﻲ: دروس اﻟﻤﺎﺿﻲ وﺗﺤﺪﻳﺎت اﻟﺤﺎﺿﺮ وآﻓﺎق اﻟﻤﺴﺘﻘﺒﻞ

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اﻟﻌﺪد ٩ / ٣

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Report, 2009,» (United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO) Database).

دراﺳﺎت إﻋﺎدة ﺗﺄﻫﻴﻞ اﻟﺴﻴﺎﺳﺔ اﻟﺼﻨﺎﻋﻴﺔ ﻓﻲ اﻟﻮﻃﻦ اﻟﻌﺮﺑﻲ: دروس اﻟﻤﺎﺿﻲ وﺗﺤﺪﻳﺎت اﻟﺤﺎﺿﺮ وآﻓﺎق اﻟﻤﺴﺘﻘﺒﻞ

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Ricardo Hausmann, Jason Hwang and Dani Rodrik, «What you Export Matters,» Journal of Economic Growth , vol. 12, no. 1 (March 2007).

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Hausmann, Hwang and Rodrik, «What you Export Matters».

اﻟﻌﺪد ٩ / ٣

دراﺳﺎت إﻋﺎدة ﺗﺄﻫﻴﻞ اﻟﺴﻴﺎﺳﺔ اﻟﺼﻨﺎﻋﻴﺔ ﻓﻲ اﻟﻮﻃﻦ اﻟﻌﺮﺑﻲ: دروس اﻟﻤﺎﺿﻲ وﺗﺤﺪﻳﺎت اﻟﺤﺎﺿﺮ وآﻓﺎق اﻟﻤﺴﺘﻘﺒﻞ

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Bailey Klinger and Daniel Lederman, «Discovery and Development: An Empricial Exploration of «New» Products,» (Policy Research Working Paper; 3450, World Bank, Washington, DC, 2004) (Author’s Calculation).

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.Hausmann, Hwang and Rodrik, «What you Export Matters»

اﻟﻌﺪد ٩ / ٣

دراﺳﺎت إﻋﺎدة ﺗﺄﻫﻴﻞ اﻟﺴﻴﺎﺳﺔ اﻟﺼﻨﺎﻋﻴﺔ ﻓﻲ اﻟﻮﻃﻦ اﻟﻌﺮﺑﻲ: دروس اﻟﻤﺎﺿﻲ وﺗﺤﺪﻳﺎت اﻟﺤﺎﺿﺮ وآﻓﺎق اﻟﻤﺴﺘﻘﺒﻞ

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Hidalgo [et al.], «The Product Space».

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Hidalgo [et al.], «The Product Space».

اﻟﻌﺪد ٩ / ٣