Regression Analysis to Model the Effect of Oil Production on Democracy in the context of the “Resource Curse” Hypothesis

Authors

  • Authors

  • Abdelhak Dahmane جامعة الجزائر
  • Driss Jaouhara

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.12816/0007103

Keywords:

Regression Analysis, Hydrocarbon Resources, Resource Diversity

Abstract

Oil is not just related to economics but is also connected to political development. This paper looks at the effect of oil on democracy by relying on a theoretical and empirical study using the tools of descriptive statistics, regression analysis, and statistical tests in the light of political economy in the form of the “resource curse.” It studies how authoritarian regimes have used hydrocarbon resources to prevent democratization by means of a range of mechanisms such as the tax impact, group formation, the effect of spending, and repression. The statistical analysis reveals that there is a statistically-significant inverse relationship between democracy and oil production. It can be said therefore that the oil states are less likely to become democratic. Although most Third-World states have been afflicted by the resource curse, it is not possible to view it as inevitable, but rather the result of dependence on the track represented by the inability to diversify resources or weakness in doing so. The resource curse does not apply to all states rich in natural resources, such as Norway.

Author Biographies

  • Abdelhak Dahmane, جامعة الجزائر
    طالب دكتوراه في العلوم السياسية، تخصص دراسات إقليمية، جامعة الجزائر.
  • Driss Jaouhara
    طالب دكتوراه في الاقتصاد والإحصاء التطبيقي، المدرسة الوطنية العليا للإحصاء والاقتصاد التطبيقي، الجزائر

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Published

2014-07-01

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Issue

Vol. 2 No. 009 (2014): Issue 009

Section

Studies and Analytical Papers

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Copyright (c) 2014 Abdelhak Dahmane, Driss Jaouhara (Author)

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