Elections, Armed Conflict, and Oil in the Competition for Power in Libya after Gaddafi
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.12816/0025447Keywords:
Elections, Armed Conflict, Libya, GaddafiAbstract
This paper presents a survey of political developments in Libya since the fall of Muamar Gaddafi. The author argues that, today, social and economic tensions have driven Libya to the edge of a precipice. It has become abundantly clear that a plan for transitional government, first envisioned by the National Transitional Council in 2014, has evaporated. To this has been added institutional stalemate, accompanied by violence, instability and direct confrontations between various Libyan factions. In this setting, a group associated with the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant has been able to expand its power in the country. Finally, the author suggests that the 2012 national elections in Libya were not in reality, as widely perceived, a competition between Islamists and liberals, but, in fact, a contest for power and influence between representatives of various tribal groups and local leaders.References
- Wolfram Lacher, “The UN wants to end Libya's civil war. Here is the big challenge they face,” The Washington Post , 5/11/2015.
- International Crisis Group, The Prize: Fighting for Libya's Energy Wealth, Middle East and North Africa Report, no. 165, 3/12/2015.
- يبلغ احتياطي ليبيا المؤكد من النفط الخام 48 مليار برميل؛ أي نحو 38 % من إجمالي الاحتياطي في القارة الأفريقية، و 2.9 % من الإجمالي الاحتياط العالمي. أمّا بالنسبة إلى الغاز الطبيعي، فيبلغ الاحتياطي الليبي نحو 55 تريليون قدم مكعب.
- Peter Bartu, “The corridor of uncertainty,” in Peter Cole & Brian McQuinn, The Libyan Revolution and its Aftermath , (London: C. Hurst & Co Publishers Ltd, 2015).
- في هذه الانتخابات، حازت قائمة "تحالف القوى الوطنية"، بقيادة محمود جبريل 39 مقعدًا، يليها "حزب العدالة والبناء"، المرتبط بجماعة الإخوان المسلمين الذي حاز 17 مقعدًا، إلا أنّ المنافسة في مقاعد "المستقلين" أدّت إلى هيمنة مرشّحي الإخوان والسلفيين على المرشحين القريبين من "تحالف القوى الوطنية."
- Wolfram Lacher, “Fault Lines of the Revolution: Political Actors, Camps and Conflicts in the New Libya,” SWP Research Paper (Berlin: SWP, 2013).
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- Frederic Wehrey, “Ending Libya's civil war. Reconciling Politics, Rebuilding Security,” Carnegie Endowment for International Peace , 24/9/2014, at: http://ceip.org/11aHElc; Wolfram Lacher & Peter Cole, “Politics by Other Means: Conflicting Interests in Libya's Security Sector,” Small Arms Survey , Working Paper 20, October 2014, at: http://bit.ly/243kEAd
- Virginie Collombier, “Libya's Political Dialogue Needs More Security Content,” Arab Reform Initiative , September 2015, at: http://bit.ly/1PWUR3G
- The Prize: Fighting for Libya's Energy.
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- إبراهيم أحمد (2025) التحديات الداخلية والخارجية وأثرها على الأمن القومي في ليبيا. https://doi.org/10.56989/benkj.v5i4.1443
Sources: Crossref Cited-by, and the references (notes and reference lists) of the Center's own articles
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2016-01-01
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Copyright (c) 2015 Virginie Collombier (Author)
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
