The New Patterns of US-Gulf Relations and the Crises in the Middle East Under Trump’s Administration
Keywords:
The Gulf, United States, Security, Donald TrumpAbstract
This study explores the origins of Qatari-US relations, the foundations on which they are based, and the rules that govern them. It begins by examining relations between the two countries from the 1970s up until the Trump era. The paper finds that Qatar's need for US security assurances did not prevent it from adopting independent policies that occasionally contradicted US strategy. Accordingly, the Qatari-US relations have been upended, and exposed to crises due to diverging interests, concerns and challenges. While Qatar has embraced a foreign policy independent of Washington, it has also tried not to alienate it and has established itself as an asset for the US, both in terms of the military facilities it provides and the unique role it plays through maintaining ties with parties that the US cannot communicate with directly. Mutual dependency has enabled Qatari-US relations to overcome all the challenges they have faced over the past three decades, including those that emerged under the Trump administration.References
- Karen DeYoung, "Trump Agrees to an Indefinite Military Effort and New Diplomatic Push in Syria, U.S. Officials Say," The Washington Post , 6/9/2018, accessed on 8/5/2019, at: https://wapo.st/2VmRkJL
- National Security Strategy of the United States of America," The White House (December 2017), accessed on 8/5/2019, at: http://bit.ly/2V9RO0K
- Summary of the 2018 National Defense Strategy of the United States of America: Sharpening the American Military's Competitive Edge," United States Department of Defense (2018), accessed on 8/5/2019, at: http://bit.ly/2J7GO2w
- H.R.5515 - John S. McCain National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2019," Congress.gov, Library of Congress, 115th Congress (2017-2018), accessed on 8/5/2019, at: http://bit.ly/2DW0BO6
- AFCENT Airpower Summary: Operation Freedom's Sentinel & Resolute Support Mission," United States Air Forces Central Command, 31/7/2018, accessed on 8/5/2019, at: http://bit.ly/2DXqZaf
- DoD Personnel, Workforce Reports & Publications," Defense Manpower Data Center, accessed on 8/5/2019, at: http://bit.ly/302tqBQ; "Department of Defense Press Briefing by Secretary Mattis and General Dunford in the Pentagon Briefing Room," United States Department of Defense, 8/8/2018, accessed on 8/5/2019, at: http://bit.ly/2H6UsiV
- National Defense Budget Estimaes for FY 2019," Office of the Under Secretary of Defence (Comptroller) (April 2018), p. 9, accessed on 8/5/2019, at: http://bit.ly/2Vtas92
- The FY2019 Defense Budget Request: An Overview," Congressional Research Service, 9/5/2018, accessed on 8/5/2019, at: http://bit.ly/2J9jmla
- All Information (Except Text) for H.R.5515 - John S. McCain National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2019," Congress. Gov, Library of Congress, 115th Congress (2017-2018), accessed on 8/5/2019, at: http://bit.ly/2VQZaKS
- Paul Mclery, "NSC Readies Major Overhaul in US Arms Exports," Breaking Defense , 26/3/2018, accessed on 8/5/2019, at: http://bit.ly/2DWxQAZ
- Dana Van Wagener, "Oil and Natural Gas Resources and Technology," Annual Energy Outlook , 26/3/2018, accessed on 8/5/2019, at: http://bit.ly/305xEc3
- Imports of Goods and Services in the United States from 1990 to 2017, as a Percentage of GDP," Statista, accessed on 8/5/2019, at: http://bit.ly/2Jpi5Wv
- World Oil Transit Chokepoints," Energy Information Administration, 25/7/2017, accessed on 8/5/2019, at: http://bit.ly/2YgLQgt
- U.S. Trade in Goods by Country," United States Census Bureau, accessed on 8/5/2019, at: http://bit.ly/2YkrEul
- Bethan McKernan, "Up to 30,000 ISIS Fighters Remain in Iraq and Syria, Says UN," Independent , 15/8/2018, accessed on 5/8/2019, at: http://bit.ly/2kIscf5
- Anthony H. Cordesman, "Terrorism: U.S. Strategy and the Trends in Its 'Wars' on Terrorism," Report , Center for Strategic & International Studies, 8/8/2018, accesssed on 8/5/2019, at: http://bit.ly/2vNNIAY
- Ibid.; Daniel R. Coats, "Statement for the Record Worldwide Threat Assessment of the US Intelligence Community," Office of the Director of National Intelligence, 29/1/2019, accessed on 8/5/2019, at: http://bit.ly/303MNuh
- Anthony H. Cordesman & Nicholas Harrington, "The Arab Gulf States and Iran: Military Spending, Modernization, and the Shifting Military Balance," Report , Center for Strategic & International Studies, 12/12/2018, accessed on 5/8/2019, at: http://bit.ly/2DOHGEF; Farzin Nadimi, "IRGC Navy Leadership Change May not Signal Imminent Behavior Change," Policy Analysis , The Washington Institute, 5/9/2018, accessed on 5/8/2019, at: http://bit.ly/2Luwwvh
- Iran's Rouhani Warns Trump about 'Mother of all Wars'," Reuters , 22/7/2018, accessed on 8/5/2019, at: https://reut.rs/2V85jOv
- Rick Gladstone, "Should we be Anticipating War with Iran? No, but It Could Get Nasty," The New York Times , 23/7/2018.
- Cordesman & Harrington.
- Anthony H. Cordesman, "Stability in the Middle East: The Range of Short and Long-Term Causes," Report , Center for Strategic & International Studies, 9/4/2018, accessed on 5/8/2019, at: http://bit.ly/304lDTY; Anthony H. Cordesman, "The Underlying Causes of Stability and Instability in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) Region," Analytic Survey & Risk Assessment , Center for Strategic & International Studies, 19/4/2016, accessed on 8/5/2019, at: http://bit.ly/2Yad8VC
- The World Bank in Syrian Arab Republic," The World Bank, 1/4/2019, accessed on 8/5/2019, at: http://bit.ly/2HcQCVg
- The World Factbook: Iraq," Central Intelligence Agency, 5/8/2019, accessed on 12/9/2019, at: http://bit.ly/2kITguT
- The Toll of War: The Economic and Social Consequences of the Conflict in Syria," The World Bank, 10/7/2017, accessed on 5/8/2019, at: http://bit.ly/2WuY5Wb
- The World Factbook: Syria," Central Intelligence Agency, 5/8/2019, accessed on 12/9/2019, at: http://bit.ly/2JoAGSM
- Iraq's Economic Outlook - April 2018," The World Bank, 16/4/2018, accessed on 5/8/2019, at: http://bit.ly/2V8U5cx
- About OCHA Yemen," OCHA, accessed on 5/8/2019, at: http://bit.ly/2Vc0qnw; "The World Bank In Yemen," The World Bank, 1/4/2019, accessed on 8/5/2019, at: http://bit.ly/2H8rLmL
Downloads
Published
2019-09-01
Usage statistics
35 views 65 downloads
Issue
Section
Studies
License
Copyright (c) 2019 Anthony H. Cordesman (Author)

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.