Introduction
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.31430/TNPT3543Keywords:
Egyptian Political Regime, January 2011 Revolution, Counterrevolution, Egyptian Economy, National Sovereignty, Foreign AidAbstract
The study focuses on civil-military relations in Egypt since 2013, examining measures the regime employs to achieve three objectives: controlling the military to prevent coups, thwarting political mobilization that could lead to popular uprisings akin to the January Revolution, and securing ongoing external support. The study concludes that these measures have brought about fundamental changes. Firstly, they have restructured the political regime towards a personalist regime led by one man, a close-knit elite, and loyalists. Secondly, they have threatened military unity with the emergence of parallel armed entities, notably Sinai's tribal union. Thirdly, they have undermined state sovereignty through expanding debts, selling state assets, and making other concessions to foreign backers. The analysis reveals that concessions granted to the military to ensure loyalty have also strengthened its independence, potentially paving the way for various scenarios if the presidential office becomes vacant or public discontent erupts due to mismanagement of state affairs.References
- ارتفع الدين المحلي لأجهزة الموازنة العامة خلال الفترة 2022-2012 من 1.4 تريليون جنيه إلى 5.4 تريليون جنيه، بمعدل يتجاوز 270 في المئة. ينظر: جمهورية مصر العربية، وزارة المالية، "الدين الحكومي وهيكل المديونية"، شوهد في 2023/12/1، في: http://doha-institute.org/frP0؛ جمهورية مصر العربية، وزارة المالية، "الموازنة العامة للدولة"، شوهد في 2023/12/1، في: https://doha-institute.org/OrJb. أما الدين الخارجي فقد ارتفع بنسبة 195 في المئة خلال الفترة 2023-2017 ليصل في شهر حزيران/ يونيو 2023 إلى 164.7 مليار دولار. ينظر: جمهورية مصر العربية، وزارة التخطيط والتنمية الاقتصادية، "تقرير متابعة الأداء الاقتصادي والاجتماعي خلال العام المالي /22 2023"، ديسمبر 2023، شوهد في 2023/12/15، في: https://doha-institute.org/0rH2
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2024-01-01
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Copyright (c) 2024 Abdel-Fattah Mady, Robert Springborg (Author)

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.