Vol. 1 No. 001 (2016): Issue 001

غلاف العدد 1 من دورية استشراف

Issue 1 of Istishraf for Future Studies (2016) includes the following studies and articles: “Foresight and Politics” (Hugues De Jouvenel); “The Complementarity of Quantitative and Qualitative Methods in Future Studies” (Walid Abdel Hay); “Arab Futures Studies: The Effect of Methodologies on Scientific and Societal Results” (Nasir al-Tawil); “Constructing Scenarios: Cognitive and Methodological Options among Foresight Schools” (Mohamed Khamis); “The Origins of Foresight from an Islamic Perspective” (Ilyas Belka); “Future Studies: Problematics and Approaches for Use” (Mazin al-Ramdhani); “The Project to Forecast the Future of the Arab Homeland: Between Foresight and Ideological Prediction” (Chamseddin Alkilani); “The 'Future' according to Mahdi Elmandjra” (Yahya el-Yehyaoui); “Fusion of Science and Culture: Key to the Twenty-First Century” (Mahdi Elmandjra); “Producing Scenarios by Hundreds: How Statistical Methods Renew Futurological Approaches” (Céline Guivarch, Julie Rozenberg); “Energy Scenarios for 2020, 2035 and 2050” (Danish Energy Agency); “Book Review: Strategic Foresight in Action” (Editorial Board); “Book Review: Strategic Foresight for Corporate and Regional Development” (Fatiha el-Hassani); “The Importance of” (Kacem Hadjadj); “Book Review: Methods of Future and Scenario Analysis” (Emile Badarin); “Book Review: The Extreme Future: The Top Trends that will Reshape the World in the Next 20 Years” (Ahmed Abizaid); “Book Review: Futuring: The Exploration of the Future” (Editorial Board); “Book Review: The World in 2030” (Fatiha el-Hassani); “Book Review: Foresight” (Editorial Board); “Book Review: Future Studies: The Legal, Epistemological and Methodological Foundations of Future Foresight” (Kamel Terchi); “Book Review: Foresight: The art and science of anticipating the future” (Editorial Board).

Published: 2016-07-01

Studies

  • Foresight and Politics

    Author: Hugues De Jouvenel (Author)
    9-23

    When it comes to politics and decision-making, what is the point of the foresight approach, and how useful is it? The question is a difficult one to answer, because of the complex linkage...

  • The Complementarity of Quantitative and Qualitative Methods in Future Studies

    Author: Walid Abdel Hay (Author)
    24-45

    Quantitative approaches presume the ability to transform or adapt phenomena into measurable indicators, while qualitative methods are based on the understanding that reality is a social...

  • Arab Futures Studies: The Effect of Methodologies on Scientific and Societal Results

    Author: Nasir al-Tawil (Author)
    74-103

    The author addresses the theoretical, methodological, and organizational dimensions of the most significant futurology studies carried out in the Arab World, examining the results and final...

  • Constructing Scenarios: Cognitive and Methodological Options among Foresight Schools

    Author: Mohamed Khamis (Author)
    104-133

    The technique of drafting futures scenarios spread rapidly in the wake of the Second World War, and became an unrivalled methodological approach for military strategic planning. In the 1950s and...

  • The Origins of Foresight from an Islamic Perspective

    Author: Ilyas Belka (Author)
    134-159

    This paper examines the origins of foresight within Islamic thought, relying on the Qura'n and the Sunnah as the basic sources of Muslim thought. In its overview of the history of foresight, the...

  • Future Studies: Problematics and Approaches for Use

    Author: Mazin al-Ramdhani (Author)
    161-192

    After the Second World War, scientific thinking gradually developed a method that was able to forecast possible futures. As a result of the spread of this methodology within the global north and...

  • The Project to Forecast the Future of the Arab Homeland: Between Foresight and Ideological Prediction

    Author: Chamseddin Alkilani (Author)
    193-225

    "The Project to Forecast the Future of the Arab Homeland" was a vast endeavor in terms of its ambitions and its challenges as well as the wide view it took of the concept of foresight. With the...

  • The 'Future' according to Mahdi Elmandjra

    Author: Yahya el-Yehyaoui (Author)
    226-251

    Although Mahdi Elmandjra was one of the world's leading futurists during the last quarter of the 20th century, for him, foresight was not a self-sustaining vertical field, but rather a "lateral"...

Translations

  • Fusion of Science and Culture: Key to the Twenty-First Century

    Author: Mahdi Elmandjra (Author)
    255-269

    This paper contends that the linking of modernization with westernization should cease. Not only would this put an end to the problematic divide between science and culture, but it would also...

  • Producing Scenarios by Hundreds: How Statistical Methods Renew Futurological Approaches

    Author: Céline Guivarch, Julie Rozenberg (Author)
    271-282

    Most futurological approaches that require a quantitative assessment of scenarios proceed in two stages: a qualitative exploration of the determinants to begin with, followed by the choice of a...

  • Energy Scenarios for 2020, 2035 and 2050

    Author: Danish Energy Agency (Author)
    283-291

    In a pioneering study, the Danish Energy Agency concluded that it would be technically possible to construct a secure and reliable national energy system based on 100 per cent renewables by...

Book Reviews

  • Book Review: Strategic Foresight in Action

    Author: Editorial Board (Author)
    295-299

    المؤلف: فيليب دورانس (محرر) (. Philippe Durance (Ed الكتاب: الاستشراف الإستراتيجي قيد العمل العنوان الأصلي (بالفرنسية): La prospective stratégique en action الناشر: أوديل جاكوب - باريس سنة...

  • Book Review: Strategic Foresight for Corporate and Regional Development

    Author: Fatiha el-Hassani (Author)
    300-303

    المؤلف: ميشيل غودي وفيليب دورانس Michel Godet & Philippe Durance الكتاب: الاستشراف الإستراتيجي من أجل المؤسّسات والأقاليم العنوان الأصلي (بالفرنسية): La prospective stratégique pour les...

  • The Importance of

    Author: Kacem Hadjadj (Author)
    46-73

    Tracking major and minor future trends in structural change within various human systems depends on diverse factors: from a set of a priori logical assumptions to accumulated experience, facts...

  • Book Review: Methods of Future and Scenario Analysis

    Author: Emile Badarin (Author)
    304-306

    المؤلف: حنا كوسوف وروبيرت غاسنر Hannah Kosow & Robert Gassner الكتاب: مناهج تحليل المستقبل والسيناريوهات العنوان الأصلي (بالإنكليزية): Methods of Future and Scenario Analysis الناشر: المعهد...

  • Book Review: The Extreme Future: The Top Trends that will Reshape the World in the Next 20 Years

    Author: Ahmed Abizaid (Author)
    307-311

    المؤلف: جيمس كانتون James Canton الكتاب: المستقبل الأقصى: أهم التحديات التي ستعيد تشكيل العالم في العشرين عامًا القادمة العنوان الأصلي (بالإنكليزية): The Extreme Future: The Top Trends that will...

  • Book Review: Futuring: The Exploration of the Future

    Author: Editorial Board (Author)
    312-315

    المؤلف: إدوارد كورنيش Edward Cornish الكتاب: الاستشراف: مناهج استكشاف المستقبل العنوان الأصلي (بالإنكليزية): Futuring: The Exploration of the Future المترجم : حسن الشريف الناشر: الدار العربية...

  • Book Review: The World in 2030

    Author: Fatiha el-Hassani (Author)
    316-319

    المؤلف: راي هاموند Ray Hammond الكتاب: العالم عام 2030 العنوان الأصلي (بالإنكليزية): The World in 2030 الناشر: ياغو للنشر - باريس سنة النشر: 2008 عدد الصفحات: 355 صفحة

  • Book Review: Foresight

    Author: Editorial Board (Author)
    321-324

    المؤلف: تيري غودان Thierry Gaudin الكتاب: الاستشراف العنوان الأصلي (بالفرنسية): La Prospective الناشر: دار النشر الجامعية بفرنسا - باريس سنة النشر: 2013 (ط 2) عدد الصفحات: 127 صفحة

  • Book Review: Future Studies: The Legal, Epistemological and Methodological Foundations of Future Foresight

    Author: Kamel Terchi (Author)
    325-329

    المؤلف: فؤاد بلمودن Fouad Belmouadden الكتاب: الدراسات المستقبلية: الأسس الشرعية والمعرفية والمنهجية لاستشراف المستقبل الناشر: المركز الثقافي العربي ومؤمنون بلا حدود - بيروت والرباط سنة النشر:...

  • Book Review: Foresight: The art and science of anticipating the future

    Author: Editorial Board (Author)
    330-333

    المؤلف: دونيس لوفريدج Denis Loveridge الكتاب: الاستشراف: فنّ وعلم استباق المستقبل العنوان الأصلي (بالإنكليزية): Foresight: The art and science of anticipating the future الناشر: روتليدج -...